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Month: January 2019
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TALKING POINTS – YEN, DAVOS, WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM, AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR Yen drops, commodity dollars rise as risk appetite firms in APAC trade Anxious commentary form Davos forum may trigger risk aversion anew S&P 500 futures erase early-Wed gains, bolstering case for risk-off bias The anti-risk Japanese Yen traded broadly lower while the sentiment-geared Australian, Canadian
Forex news for Asia trading Wednesday 23 January 2019 The session kicked off with CPI data from New Zealand (for Q4 2018). The headline results were a little above expected and saw the NZD marked higher. NZD/USD popped to circa 0.6750 and while other currencies were flattish (AUD only got a few point bounce on
The global economy is stumbling but not falling over, the investors, bankers and former policymakers attending the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, according to Bloomberg. “The chances of a recession short of a major mistake or accident this year are limited,” said Phillip Hildebrand, vice chairman of Blackrock Inc. and a former Swiss central
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The USD/MXN reached today a fresh weekly high at 19.25 but then pulled back. The retreat found support above 19.10. The greenback continues to rise, correcting after the sharp slide from early December to January 17. The bullish tone eased today, before the 19.30 area. The upside target might be seen at 19.30 (Fibonacci retracement
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50 day MA at 2622.75 The S&P has just violated the 50 day MA after one day close above that moving average. That MA comes in at 2622.72. The price is trading at 2619.72. The move higher last week was also able to breach the 50% of the move down from the September high. That
Early support gives way with stock declines The USDJPY dumped on a break through trend line and 100 hour MA support. See earlier post. Those technical levels stalled the fall earlier, but as stocks weakened, so too did the price of the USDJPY (again). The technical break of the trend line and the 100 hour
In this series we scale-back and look at the broader technical picture to gain a bit more perspective on where we are in trend. Crude Oil is on the defensive to start the week with price pulling back from six-week highs after rally of more-than 18.7% from the yearly / monthly open. While the threat
US Secretary of State Pompeo: On China, does not see superpower conflict Coming Up! Title text for next article Secretary of State Pompeo weighs in on multiple topics On China, does not see superpower conflict as inevitable course of relationship with China will be determined by American principles, fair trade hopes China will adopt consistent
ECB seemingly oblivious to the slowdown. Germany’s growth has stalled, Italy too. France joins them as well with a slowdown coming form Spain. A quick look at the manufacturing purchasing managers index across these countries shows the downward trend since January 2018. PMI data out on Thursday just before the ECB monetary policy meeting.ForexLive
Analysts at TD Securities suggest that the release of existing home sales data will be a key economic release for today’s session. Key Quotes “Existing home sales for November will be published at 10:00 ET, with the market consensus looking for a 1.5% m/m decline to an annualized 5.24m units.” “The Fed’s blackout period ahead
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Trapped in a falling channel, the AUD/USD pair is currently trading at the session low of 0.7143 amid risk aversion in the equity markets. 4-hour chart The pair has charted a descending broadening channel on the 4-hour chart. The RSI is biased bearish below 50.00. The lower edge of the channel, currently at 0.7121, could
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US dollar corrects further versus the Mexican peso, rises to the highest since January 14. USD/MXN upside capped by the resistance area at 19.20. The Mexican peso lost ground against the US dollar for the third trading day in a row and moved off the 3-month highs it reached last week. A stronger US dollar
Above 100 and 200 hour MAs The USDCAD moved higher today but once the highs from Jan 8 and Jan 17 were approached, the buyers dried up. Risk could be defined and limited against the levels and sellers leaned. The price moved up to 1.33178 before stalling. The ceiling is now more solid at the
Not much to go on today with MLK holiday Not a lot of activity in markets on MLK Day Monday. Currencies stayed close to weekly opening levels as a consequence. On the risk sentiment side, it seems the market was comfortable taking a little break to consider last week’s jump in US equities, and we
UK FTSE down -0.1% as PM May and parliament continue to muddle through Brexit The major European indices are ending the session with declines. As a reminder, US markets are closed today. The provisional closes are showing: German DAX, -0.7% France’s CAC, -0.3% UK’s FTSE, -0.1% Spain’s Ibex, -0.6% Italy’s FTSE MIB, -0.35% Portugal’s PSI
Will not guarantee no-deal The GBPUSD is extending to new highs as May stands firm on not guaranteeing a no deal. The pair is moving away from the 100 hour and 100 day MA at 1.2885 and 1.2890 respectively. The high reached 1.29096. The next target is the 1.29295. Risk is the 1.2885 area now.
Australian Dollar Forecast – Slowing China GDP to Curb AUD/USD Flash-Crash Rebound Fresh data prints coming out the Asia/Pacific region may drag on AUD/USD as China is expected to grow at the slowest pace since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC). Oil Forecast – Can Crude Oil Prices Keep Rising as China Slows? Brexit, ECB Eyed
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• US-China trade optimism dampens demand for safe-haven currencies. • Positive US bond yields help revive USD demand and remain supportive. The USD/CHF pair finally broke out of its Asian/early European session consolidation phase and spiked to over one-month tops, around the 0.9975-80 region in the last hour. The pair built on last week’s
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