Oil daily Various reports suggest that Israel won’t strike Iran’s oil infrastructure in retaliation for recent strikes. The latest report cited officials from the Biden administration, speaking anonymously to the Associated Press, was said that Israel has pledged not to attack Iranian oil and nuclear sites. However, these officials express skepticism about the reliability of
USD/CHF is correcting back after peaking as it extends its uptrend. The pair will probably resume its bullish bias after the pull back has completed. USD/CHF is pulling back within its short-term uptrend after peaking at 0.8642 on Monday. The move is only likely to be a temporary correction, however, before the pair resumes its
Fundamental Overview The bullish momentum in the US Dollar seems to be waning despite the recent higher-than-expected US CPI and PPI reports. One caveat is that the market has now priced out the aggressive rate cuts expectations and it’s almost perfectly in line with the Fed’s projections. Therefore, we will likely need more strong US
Here’s a snapshot of things at the moment: S&P 500 futures flat Nasdaq futures -0.1% Dow futures +0.2% Eurostoxx -0.4% Germany DAX +0.2% France CAC 40 -0.7% UK FTSE -0.4% In Europe, the overall mood is more mixed with only the DAX looking to push up. The German index briefly touched record highs earlier as
Elections can significantly impact the financial market due to the uncertainty it brings from each candidate’s views on specific policy issues, which can cause the market to become volatile. The results of an election, combined with the winners’ policy changes in various sectors such as healthcare, trade, taxation, and economy, can cause market participants to
Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, October 15: Following a quiet start to the week, the US Dollar (USD) gathered strength and managed to build on the previous week’s gains, with the USD Index reaching its highest level since early August above 103.00 on Monday. The US economic calendar will not offer
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
Gold slips as China’s stimulus efforts fail to ease deflationary pressures. Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari’s comments on modest rate cuts and a strong labor market further support the Greenback. Geopolitical tensions, including Israel’s response to Hezbollah and Iran, continue to influence Bullion prices, with traders eyeing US economic data later this week. Gold price retraces
The EURJPY has been forming a ceiling over the last few weeks of trading. That ceiling comes between 163.478 and 163.60. Today’s high stalled against that level and rotated to the downside. The current price trades at 163.293. Although lower, there is a key target on the downside that needs to be broken if the
The AUDUSD is trading at 0.6723 which is near the middle of close resistance at a swing area up to 0.6768 and close support with the 100 day moving average and 0.66929 and the low of a swing area at 0.6685. The true midpoint of that range is 0.6725. With the price at 0.6723 the
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
GBP/USD remains in a tight range between 1.3010 and 1.3095, pressured by the 50-DMA at 1.3104 and support at 1.3000. Momentum favors sellers, with the RSI in bearish territory, suggesting potential for a lower move toward the 100-DMA at 1.2945. A break above 1.3100 could lead to resistance at the October 4 peak of 1.3175,
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
It’s a quiet start to the new week so far and understandably so. In Asia, Japanese markets were closed and we are also due a partial market holiday in the US later as well as a full holiday in Canada. That pretty much makes it a long weekend of sorts in markets. So far today,
GBP/USD weakens to near 1.3060 in Monday’s early European session. The US PPI inflation slowed further in September. The dovish stance of the BoE continues to weigh on the GBP. The GBP/USD pair trades with mild losses around 1.3060 during the early European session on Monday. The safe-haven flows amid rising geopolitical risks underpin the
ING has taken an optimistic view of the Saturday briefing from China’s Ministry of Finance (MoF). Say the MoF highlighted key priorities aimed at stabilizing the property market and addressing local government debt issues. The ministry signaled that special bonds would be issued to support both bank recapitalization and real estate stabilization efforts. Additionally, the
UPCOMING EVENTS: Monday: US and Canada Holiday, Fed’s Waller. (US stock market open/bond market closed) Tuesday: UK Labour Market report, German ZEW, Canada CPI, New Zealand Q3 CPI. Wednesday: UK CPI. Thursday: Australia Labour Market report, ECB Policy Decision, US Retail Sales, US Jobless Claims, US Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization, US NAHB Housing Market
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The State Council Information Office of China held a highly-anticipated press conference on Saturday, led by Finance Minister Lan Fo’an. The market was hoping for further announcements on fiscal stimulus after an invitation said to media said officials would outline the country’s plans for intensifying countercyclical adjustments to its fiscal policy. Instead, the press conference
Bitcoin rose above $63K following a bounce off the $59K level. The recent decline in Bitcoin between Wednesday and Thursday led to long liquidations of $290 million. Short-term holders realized share have declined over the last three months. Bitcoin (BTC) climbed above $63,000 on Friday after Mt Gox pushed its repayment plans to 2025, easing
AUD/USD prints gains on Friday after US Producer Price Index (PPI) data showed inflation easing. The US Core PPI rose by 0.2% MoM as expected, while annual PPI declined to 1.8%, increasing the likelihood of a Fed rate cut. Swaps markets show a 95.6% chance of a 25 bps Fed rate cut in November, up
Gold gains 1% on Friday, set to end the week with 0.20% gains. US PPI data was slightly above expectations, suggesting inflation is down but stalling above target, while UoM Consumer Sentiment highlights concerns over rising living costs. Despite higher US Treasury yields, with the 10-year note rising to 4.081%, Bullion prices remain supported as
Crypto market will witness another round of token unlocks totaling $214 million next week. ARB, EIGEN and AXS will each release over $40 million worth of their tokens into circulation. TAIKO, STRK and APE will each unlock more than $10 million worth of their tokens. Token Unlocks data on Friday indicates that the crypto market
Markets: Gold up $26 to $2655 US 10-year yields down 1 bps to 4.08% WTI crude down 30 cents to $75.56 NZD leads, JPY lags S&P 500 up 0.7%, touches fresh record Friday turned into a classic risk-on day but it’s not entirely clear why. Stock futures were negative and the US dollar was steady
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The NZDUSD traded above and below the 100-day MA this week but above the 200-day MA (green line) into the mid-week RBNZ rate decision. The central bank cut rates by 50 basis points and that sent the pair below the 61.8% but buyers came in against the 61.8% retracement. The subsequent bounce off the low
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The AUDUSD moved lower a week ago on the stronger-than-expected US jobs report. However, the price remained above its 200 bar moving average on the 4-hour chart (green line on the chart below). It wasn’t until Monday that the price broke below that level (currently at 0.6779) and ran lower. The low price initially stalled
The USDCAD has been trending to the upside since bottoming on October 2 near 1.3472. The momentum over the last eight trading days has taken the price up to a high of 1.37826. That took the price to the low of the next swing area target between 1.3784 and 1.38036 (going back to April 2024
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