Latest data released by Istat – 31 August 2018 GDP +1.2% vs +1.1% y/y prelim ForexLive The quarterly reading remains unchanged and is the weakest in two years while the yearly estimate is revised slightly higher by a tick to +1.2%. Not a significant revision by any means as the yearly estimate also remains the
The yen is up to session highs across the board ForexLive Yen pairs are falling as European equities go deeper into the red and bond yields fall to session lows at the same time. It’s all about trade tensions right now and that is dominating the market landscape for the time being. USD/JPY is dragged
TALKING POINTS – TRADE WAR, EMERGING MARKETS, FRANC, CANADIAN DOLLAR Trade war, emerging market worries continue to weigh on sentiment Canadian Dollar leads commodity FX drop, Franc gains outpace Yen Euro may shrug off CPI report as ECB policy remains on autopilot Residual risk aversion continued to plague currency markets in Asia Pacific trade. Most
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The Indonesian rupiah, for example, has hit a 20 or so year low I inverted the image, as USD/IDR is soaring Actually I didn’t need to invert it, I’m in the southern hemisphere and this is how all our charts look. True. I wouldn’t lead you astray, not on a Friday Anyway …. EM copping
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) published its corporate plan on Friday, in order today make future policy decisions. Main Points: High debt levels could complicate future policy decisions. High debt could make the economy less resilient to shocks. Structure of the Australian economy will continue to evolve. Economic shocks, by definition, are not forecastable
New Zealand Dollar Talking Points NZD/USD pares the rebound from the 2018-low (0.6544) as business sentiment in New Zealand slips to a 10-year low, and the exchange rate may exhibit a more bearish behavior over the coming days as it continues to track the downward trend from earlier this year. NZD/USD Outlook Mired by Failure
What moved markets Thursday The Yen was doing its own thing on Thursday, outperforming across the board, while the Swiss Franc held onto recent gains against the buck and traded flat on the day. Clearly there was demand for traditional safe haven currencies, with the rest of the currency market giving back gains against the
USD/CHF is trading in a bear channel. USD/CHF bulls are attempting to create a bull reversal day at the lower end of the channel. Since the main trend is bearish, the bulls will have to break above Thursday’s high in order to generate enough momentum to reach 0.9750 (August 28 low). Since the main trend
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Another key level in the down run today See prior post. The EURJPY is down testing the 200 day MA at 129.527. The price has dipped below the level and traded a little above and below the level. The pair is stepping lower today. Stalled at topside trend line at highs Fell below trend line
Cluster of technical levels stalls the rally once. Moving back toward that area again. The cluster of technical levels at the 1.2996 to 1.3003 area stalled the rally (high reached 1.3000). The subsequent all took the price down to its 100 hour moving average of 1.29605 (the low reached 1.2963). We are currently trading backfire
Most states showed weaker year-on-year readings in August relative to July Of all the releases above, only Bavaria and North Rhine Westphalia saw the year-on-year readings hold steady from July. The others had a more prominent trend where the figures were weaker and they were weighed down by one particular price area – clothing and
The Eurozone economic sentiment indicator declined from 112.1 to 111.6 as global and local concerns dampen expectations about the second half of the year, according to Bert Colijn, Senior Economist at ING. Key Quotes “A cruising speed of 0.4% GDP growth looks like the best case scenario as global economic and political concerns cause Europeans
Buyers have been eager to defend any downside move from testing the 100-hour MA ForexLive And it’s a similar case to the drop in the last hour or so. Price moved to a low of 1.1675 and tested a near-term trendline formed this week before moving a little higher now towards 1.1690 levels. The 100-hour
TALKING POINTS – EURO, GERMAN CPI, ECB, PCE, US DOLLAR, FED Euro unlikely to be impressed by uptick in German inflation US Dollar may rise if PCE data puts Fed outlook into focus Aussie, NZ Dollars fall on cooling RBA, RBNZ rate hike bets German CPI data headlines the economic calendar in European trading hours.
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