Soft Canadian jobs combine with strong US wage growth USD/CAD jumped to 1.3175 from 1.3115 after simultaneous jobs report from the United States and Canada. The US report was mixed with a slight beat on the headline but poor revisions. The participation rate slipped but the market focused on strong wage growth as average hourly
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Analysts at TD Securities note that Australia’s July home loans came at +0.4%/m for once reflecting the ABA Banker’s survey, and so surpassing market expectations (TD flat, mkt -0.1%). Key Quotes “The post-macro prudential tool trend continues, with investment lending -1.3%/m but owner-occupiers +1.3%/m. Affordability is improving and bringing back price-conscious buyers, hence why finance can
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading in a bull channel above its 100 and 200-day simple moving average (SMA) suggesting that the main trend remains bullish.  However, Tuesday and Wednesday bars formed a tweezer tops bearish formation at the 95.65 resistance (July 19 high). The market is starting to slightly break down to the
Wilkins in the Q&A [embedded content] Tariffs could fuel inflation, complicating response Protectionism imposes trade offs on monetary policy Infrastructure, including pipeline infrastructure, has a big positive long-term effect Domestically the economy is doing quite well We see an economy that’s growing pretty close to potential She’s all done now. No word on whether she
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WTI crude down 2% Oil is down for the fourth day and has fallen $1.42 to $67.29 today. The decline has accelerated after weekly US oil inventory data. Inventories are tight and the crude data was tighter than expected but a surprise build in gasoline and distillates set of some modest initial selling that has spiraled.
Continuing claims 1707K  vs 1720K expected The US initial jobless claims came in at 203K versus 213K expected. The prior week came in at 213K. initial claims is the lowest since December 6, 1969 when it was 202K the four-week moving average was 209.5K. Down from 212.25K last week. This is the lowest level for
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Annette Beacher, Chief Asia-Pacific Macro Strategist at TD Securities, notes that the Australian trade surplus in July came at $A1.55b and sat between TD ($A1.7b) and market ($A1.45b) expectations. Key Quotes “On a lack of surprise, the AUD remains unmoved at $US0.72. With rare exception, Australia has registered monthly trade surpluses for nearly two years.”