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In opinion of Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, the pair should keep the positive bias while above 110.61. Key Quotes “USD/JPY seems to have little interest in tackling nearby resistance at 112.00/15. But for now while underpinned by the uptrend today at 110.61 our bias is positive. The market has recently
IEA comments in its monthly oil market report Warns that oil prices could break out above $80 per barrel Unless other producers act to offset deepening supply losses in Iran and Venezuela Says that there is a risk to the 2019 outlook for demand as well Cites challenges in emerging markets such as currency depreciation
TALKING POINTS – EURO, ECB, BRITISH POUND, BOE, US DOLLAR, CPI Euro may decline as ECB downgrades official economic forecasts Pound might rise absent unanimous MPC vote to keep rates steady US Dollar to return on offense if CPI echoes wage inflation uptick All eyes are on policy announcements from the European Central Bank and
The yen is the weakest performing major currency on the day ForexLive USD/JPY now rises to a high of 111.47 on the day as the dollar catches a light bid across the board but also as the Nikkei pushes higher into the close. The Japanese main stock index is up by 1% on the day
Fail to plan, plan to fail Turning to today’s post Turkey’s domestic outlook has been troubled lately. The country runs at a current account deficit (it needs to borrow money to balance the books), so the USDTRY strength has been particularly concerning for Turkey as the cost of borrowing effectively increased via the weakness of
Trading the News: Australia Employment Change Updates to Australia’s Employment report may fuel a larger recovery in AUD/USD as job growth is expected to rebound 18.0K in August. A batch of positive developments may trigger a bullish reaction in the Australian dollar as it instills an improved outlook for growth and inflation, and signs of
Overview of Australian jobs report (Feb) Australia’s monthly jobs report is back on the cards for Asian markets today, due 0130GMT. Employment gains are starting to face headwinds after two years of breakneck additions. Analysts at TD Securities explained that the three leading employment indicators point to 2-2½%/y employment growth, and so our expected ‘seasonal’ August
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We’re often asked, ‘What are the best Forex pairs to trade and why?’ In this concise video, we answer those questions by looking at the best Forex pairs to trades and why. It’ll provide you with three pairs which to learn to trade and also the most relevant news and events to look at. The
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Just seems to be losing steam… Does the EURUSD run higher seem to be running out of steam? If you are more bearish into the ECB decision tomorrow, is the momentum fading? Looking at the hourly chart, the price raced above a trend line and up to the high from last Thursday at 1.1649. It
“We expect CPI to moderate to 2.8% from its July peak while reflecting a 0.3% m/m gain boosted by energy prices and a solid core,” TD Securities analysts noted in their recently published report. Key quotes “Outside of food and energy, we look for core CPI to print a strong 0.2% m/m, keeping core inflation at
$200B of new tariffs may not go into effect The headline news that Mnuchin would head proposed US/China trade talks, is giving the risk pairs a boost. AUDUSD. The AUDUSD moved above a trend line and 100 hour MA earlier (blue line – see post here). That was a bit more bullish. The headline sent
A boost for risk assets on this headline, from Dow Jones Dow Jones reports that the US is proposing a new round of trade talks with China in the near future. This is potentially great news for a postponement, at the very least, of China-US hostility. The outreach to Beijing is reportedly being led by
Talking Points: – Reports that the ECB will downgrade its economic forecasts tomorrow has dragged down EUR/USD today. – Nothing new is expected from the BOE tomrrow as investors await a potential Brexit deal culminating in the next weeks, paving the way to an EU-UK summit in November. – Retail trader sentiment continues to favor
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The European Union Commission President, Jean-Claude Juncker was out on the wires in the last hour, saying that the EU can no longer take past international alliances for granted and must become a global player. Referring to the recent agreement with the US President Donald Trump, for not imposing border taxes on European firms, Juncker
Not catching the flu from Asian trading just yet ForexLive A pretty decent start to proceedings for European stocks. US equity futures are more or less flat and that is helping to provide some relief for European investors despite the fact that Asian equities have once again tracked lower. The Shanghai Composite and CSI 300
Latest data released by the National Statistics Institute – 12 September 2018 Final CPI +2,2% vs +2.2% y/y prelim Core CPI +0.8% vs +1.0% y/y expected Prior +1.0% HICP +0.1% vs +0.1% m/m prelim HICP +2.2% vs +2.2% y/y prelim ForexLive Preliminary readings can be found here. The headline readings are more or less within
TALKING POINTS – US DOLLAR, TRADE WARS, GLOBAL GROWTH American economic nationalism poses a threat to global markets Trade wars can spread uncertainty, dampening economic activity Protectionism is antagonism toward growth and stability at large WHAT IS ECONOMIC NATIONALISM? Economic nationalism is an ideology that is often characterized by a general skepticism toward globalization and
This is via SG’s daily technical analysis – I’ve snipped out the bit on the Australian dollar Société Générale have highlighted support and resistance levels, included under the chart AUD/USD is piercing below the graphical support of 0.7140/60 which represents the lows of May / December 2016. The pair could head towards next objective at
Analysts at TD Securities noted the key events coming up for the day ahead. Key Quotes: “AUD Similar to business confidence (easing from +7 to +4 in August) consumer confidence may pause or dip (prior 103.6) as the unexpected political rout removing PM Turnbull unfolded in August. INR CPI will benefit from a high base
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