The European Union (EU) Chief Brexit Negotiator Michel Barnier crossed the newswires in the last hour saying that they were in the final stage of Brexit negotiations and they working hand-in-hand with the Irish government. “To agree to any Brexit deal, we need to have a legally sound backstop solution for Ireland & N.Ireland,” Barnier
China hack story doing the rounds The story that’s doing the rounds today is how China used a tiny chip to infiltrate US companies. It’s no coincidence. This is one of many stories you should be expecting to read in the months ahead about how China is competing unfairly. In late September, Axios published a
Trades around the 200 day MA The USDCAD barely moved after the sharply lower Ivey PMI. The index does tend to have it’s volatile swings, which begs if it is effective. In any case, the price action saw a move higher (from 1.2867 to 1.28799) and a fall back down. The failure to go higher
In a quiet session for data ahead for Europe, analysts at TD Securities suggest that the key focus will be on a scheduled speech by the ECB’s Coure to French businesses at 5 pm BST. From the US: “The market looks for factory orders to rise by 2.1% in August on the strength of durable
Latest data released by Markit – 4 October 2018 ForexLive Slight delay in the release by the source. Yet another dip in construction activity and that continues to highlight the softness seen in the sector of the German economy this year. Not a major release by any means but is one that feeds into overall
TALKING POINTS – FED, POWELL, YEN, FRANC, STOCKS, AUSSIE DOLLAR Yen, Franc rise as hawkish Fed outlook shift spooks financial markets Rising borrowing costs may expose pockets of QE-linked malinvestment Stock index futures hint risk-off mood to persist in European, US trade The anti-risk Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc outperformed while commodity FX – the
AUD/USD breaks the September low and falls to its lowest levels in 2.5 years ForexLive A painful week for the aussie just got even worse. The currency continues to be weighed down by a myriad of factors but the key one at play over the last two days have been that of yields. Or more
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Analysts at Goldman Sachs are calling for an increasing pace of rate hikes from the US Federal Reserve, with potential to see the number rise as the hawkish central bank battles rising inflation within the US. Key highlights GS analysts have noted three key takeaways from the US Fed’s historical rate path looking forward: An
We had the AiG version of service industry PMI yesterday: This one now is from CBA / Markit, results in the headline, the ‘key points’ from the survey: Business activity continued to expand in September, but the rate of increase remained relatively sluggish, picking up only slightly from August’s recent low. New orders rose, but
Higher yields may be starting to take it’s toll. The USD is now the strongest currency of the majors. The S&P index dipped into the red with 30 minutes to go in the day. The price is testing a trend line. The 100 hour MA is down at 2917.96. The last two tests stalled near
Talking Points: – Both the Italian BTP 2- and 10-year yields have come off recent highs, but the Euro rally has faded across the board – EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, and EUR/USD are at or near their opening price levels. – US Dollar bid in recent days tied directly to concerns about the Italian budget; Fed rate
ADP employment figures and non-manufacturing PMI beat expectations. Upbeat data from the U.S. help the US Dollar Index stay above 95.50. DJIA hits a new record high in early trade. The USD/CHF pair extended its march higher in the second half of the day and came within a couple of pips of the 0.99 mark to
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Tests old trend line The USDJPY has moved to a new 2018 high price. IN fact the high at 114.129 today, is the highest level since November 7th, 2018. On the hourly chart, the price has tested the old trend line that did a good job of stalling rallies up until Monday. On Monday, the
High for the day, took out the high from yesterday but only by a few pips The USDCAD gapped lower after the weekend USMCA agreement. Friday closed just above the 1.2900 level. The high on Monday was up at 1.2884. That gap will still be eyed, but what I know is that there needs to
FX option expiries for Oct 3 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. – EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.1500 1.5bn 1.1650 893m – GBP/USD: GBP amounts 1.2900 454m 1.2975 232m 1.3000 443m – AUD/USD: AUD amounts 0.7190 1.2bn 0.7265 570m – USD/CAD: USD amounts 1.2955 572m
Comments by Italy’s deputy prime minister Matteo Salvini Both debt and deficit will fall “Doesn’t give a damn” about threats by the EU ForexLive Salvini is also displaying some hints of overzealous populism in his interview here saying that there is “someone in Europe that aims to put Italy on its knees in order to
The pound is getting an indirect lift from the euro’s gains today ForexLive The move to the downside yesterday stalled as the daily support from the 19 July low @ 1.2958 helped to limit declines and Boris Johnson’s less conflicting demeanor helped to ease fears of Theresa May being ousted for the time being. Since
Jeff Bezos is the richest person in the world. Can his lessons for business, work for you in your trading? [embedded content] On September 19th, 2018, Jeff Bezos gave a somewhat rare interview at the Air Force Association Air and Space Conference. Although his comments were from his experience from running Amazon and his space
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More info on the Forex Bank Trading Strategy: https://www.daytradingforexlive.com/day-trading-forex-education-course/ This forex training video walks through the confirming entry. The confirming entry has been a powerful tool we have used for years and continues to stand the test of time. Overall the best way to identify what the banks are doing is to wait for the
TALKING POINTS – BRAZILIAN REAL, ELECTION, EMERGING MARKETS Polarizing election is causing significant volatility in the Brazilian Real Election likely to boil down to Fernando Haddad and Jair Bolsonaro Bolsonaro win could cheer investors but also portend long–term risks See our FX, commodities and stocks forecasts to learn what will drive financial markets in the
RBC on the USD/JPY – reasons to like it Coming Up! Title text for next article RBC like USD/JPY, even as much saying a long is a trade of the week, they hold a “medium-term bearish view on JPY” The bank citing: general risk appetite will be supported diminishing trade risks capital outflows may pick
Analysts at TD Securities noted that Chairman Powell will drive sentiment with his second speech in as many days. Key Quotes: “Powell will speak in a moderated Q&A at 16:00 ET following appearances by Evans, Barkin, Brainard and Mester.” “On the data front, ADP employment will give an early read on labor market conditions ahead of
In this series we scale-back and take a look at the broader technical picture to gain a bit more perspective on where we are in trend. Euro is trading into a critical support confluence early in the month with major event risk on tap this week. Here are the key targets & invalidation levels that