Technical Analysis

UK GDP came in weaker than expected -0.1% for the month versus +0.1% estimate. Construction output, industrial production, manufacturing production was also weaker and the trade balance had a larger deficit. The declines sent the GBP lower but buyers came in near technical support targets and the price has since rebounded off lows. The EURUSD

Fundamental Overview The US CPI report on Wednesday came in line with expectations and sealed the 25 bps cut next week. That helped the Russell 2000 as the hedges into a potentially hot CPI got unwound. The gains though were short lived. The US PPI yesterday surprised to the upside and weighed on the sentiment

The NZD/USD hit a new low for the year yesterday, bottoming at 0.57604, just within the key swing area between 0.5741 and 0.5772 on the daily chart. The price rebounded into the close and continued higher during the early Asian session today, reaching 0.58138, a swing area aligned with the falling 100-hour moving average (MA).

The EUR/USD is following a well-defined technical script after the ECB’s 25-basis-point rate cut. The pair initially dropped to a low of 1.0463, just above the upper boundary of a key swing area between 1.0448 and 1.0461. Buyers stepped in at this risk-defining level, triggering a rebound. The subsequent upside move took the price toward

Fundamental Overview The US CPI report yesterday came in line with expectations and sealed the 25 bps cut next week with the probabilities standing around 97%. Overall, the market’s pricing remained largely unchanged around three rate cuts by the end of 2025. This contributed to some US Dollar weakness although we are still consolidating around

The price of gold is moving higher and near highs for the day. The price is up $24.61 or 0.92% at $2718.36. The high for the day has reached $2721.16. The move higher is up testing the high from November 25 which peaked at $2721.41 jut above the high for the day. Get above that

The AUDUSD hit a new low today, dipping into a key swing area between 0.6334 and 0.6363 on the daily chart. This zone has been significant since November 2023, marked by three distinct lows. The price reached 0.6336, just above the lower boundary of this floor (see red numbered circles on the chart below). Buyers

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The EURUSD moved lower and below an upward sloping trend line in the process, but selling stalled and the price rose. The move up has returned to the lower of 3 moving averages starting with the 100-bar MA on the 4-hour chart at 1.0530 200-hour MA at 1.05385 100-hour mA at 1.05517 Get above that

The Reserve Bank of Australia announced no change in interest rates as per expectations, but it was considered a more dovish decision. As a result, the price of the AUDUSD moved lower and back toward the lows from Friday’s trading. US yields moving higher has kick started the move higher in the US dollar as

Fundamental Overview The US Dollar continues to consolidate around the highs although it’s stronger against the commodity currencies. In the bigger picture, the market reached the peak in the repricing of interest rates expectations, and it will need stronger reasons to price out the remaining rate cuts for 2025. In fact, despite lots of strong

The price of crude oil is settling at $68.37. That is up $1.17 or 1.7%. The high price reached $68.85. The low price was at $67.07. Looking at the hourly chart, the high price today was able to breach the near-converged 100 and 200-hour moving averages at $68.63. However, the price could not sustain momentum

The USD/CHF pair moved higher during the Asian-Pacific session, briefly breaking above a key swing area between 0.8794 and 0.87995 (rounded to 0.8800). The high of the day reached 0.88035 before reversing to the downside. The failure to sustain momentum above 0.8800 triggered a move lower, with the price retesting the 200-bar moving average on

Fundamental Overview Gold continues to consolidate in a tight range as the markets await the US CPI report due on Wednesday. Overall, nothing has changed in terms of the fundamentals. The Fed is expected to cut by 25 bps next week and deliver at least two more rate cuts in 2025. In the bigger picture,

This is an interesting piece from Finance Magnates (good buddies of ForexLive!), it examines FX Market Reactions to Key Economic Events: focus on Federal Reserve meetings, NFP releases, and CPI announcements using high-frequency data to analyze millisecond-level price changes The report highlights the speed of price movements. It shows that 60% of price changes within

Fundamental Overview The Nasdaq managed to extend the rally into a new all-time high recently. The conditions for further upside in the index remain in place. In fact, Trump’s policies will be a positive driver for growth in 2025 and with the Fed remaining in an easing cycle, growth should remain positive and might even

Fundamental Overview The S&P 500 managed to extend the rally into a new all-time high recently. The conditions for further upside in the index remain in place. In fact, Trump’s policies will be a positive driver for growth in 2025 and with the Fed remaining in an easing cycle, growth should remain positive and might

Fundamental Overview The Russell 2000 has been underperforming the other major indices recently and failed to extend into new highs. The conditions for a strong rally into new all-time highs remain in place though. In fact, Trump’s policies will be a positive driver for growth in 2025 and with the Fed remaining in an easing

Fundamental Overview Nothing has changed in terms of the fundamentals this week as the market awaits the US NFP and the US CPI data. The US Dollar continues to consolidate around the highs as the market reached the peak in the repricing of interest rates expectations and it will need stronger reasons to price out

The GBPUSD moved higher yesterday helped by the USD selling but once the price stretched to the 50% midpoint of the November trading range, the buyers started to shift to sellers and the price wandered lower into the close. That level comes in at 1.27669. The high price going back to mid-November was just above

The AUDUSD has seen steady sellers in trading today. The currency pairs now down -0.40%. And extending below what was a floor in the month of November between 0.6433 and 0.64419. That area is now close risk for sellers looking for more downside. Stay below is more bearish. The move to the downside was started

The EUR/USD moved higher on Thursday after buyers leaned against the 100- and 200-hour moving averages (MAs), supported by weaker-than-expected initial jobless claims, which triggered USD selling. This upward move comes ahead of Friday’s U.S. jobs report, a key event that could either confirm or challenge the narrative of a weakening labor market. Non-farm payrolls

Fundamental Overview The US Dollar continues to consolidate around the highs as the market reached the peak in the repricing of interest rates expectations and it will need stronger reasons to price out the remaining rate cuts for 2025. This was signalled by the lack of US Dollar strength after lots of strong US data

Fundamental Overview The US Dollar continues to consolidate around the highs as the market reached the peak in the repricing of interest rates expectations and it will need stronger reasons to price out the remaining rate cuts for 2025. This was signalled by the lack of US Dollar strength after lots of strong US data

Fundamental Overview The US Dollar continues to consolidate around the highs as the market reached the peak in the repricing of interest rates expectations and it will need stronger reasons to price out the remaining rate cuts for 2025. This was signalled by the lack of US Dollar strength after lots of strong US data

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High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not

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The USDJPY is trading to a new high for the day and looks to test the broken 38.2% of the move up from the September low at 150.18. Above that is the falling 100 hour MA at 150.368. The price gapped below the 100 hour MA back on November 25 (Monday) and corrected up to

The EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD all had up and down trading days yesterday as buyers and sellers continued to battle with no trendl-like moves. How has the price action impacted the technicals that are driving the pairs going into the news trading day. Be aware. Be prepared. The video will outline the most important technical