Technical Analysis

The NASDAQ index fell -238.04 point at session lows today. It is now flipped that decline and transact 244.18 points or up 1.43% at 17269.. That is quite a reversal The move back to the upside has taken the price back above its 100- day moving average at 17158.57 (blue line on the chart above).

Fundamental Overview Last Friday, the Russell 2000 sold off following the weaker than expected NFP report even though the details were better than the prior month. The technical break below the key support around the 2120 level eventually increased the bearish momentum. The market has become very sensitive to soft growth and labour market data.

The US yields are trading at new session lows. The two-year is trading at 3.598%. That’s the lowest level going back to March 2023. The 10 year yield is an 3.642%. That’s its lowest level going back to June 2023. The low in yields has the USDJPY also extending back toward session lows for the

The major US stock indices have seen a run lower over the last hour or so of trading. The move lower now has the Dow down around -400 points or 1%. It was up 134 points at session highs. The S&P is down -23.36 points or -0.42%. At highs the index was up 24.08 points

Fundamental Overview It’s been a brutal month for crude oil as renewed growth fears pushed the market into new lows. The negative supply news from Libya and Iraq, and the delay by OPEC+ to increase production from October didn’t help much to slow down the bearish momentum. The markets have been waiting for the US

The NZDUSD continued its run to the downside in trading today after sharp declines on Friday helped by the risk-off sentiment on stock selling, and lower commodities. The down momentum continued today and carried the price down toward the 38.2% retracement of the move up from the August low to the August high. That level

The AUDUSD moved lower on Friday helped by risk-off sentiment from the tumble in US stocks. In trading today, selling has continued after a rise in the early Asian session. The fall has taken the price of the AUDUSD to a key technical support level defined by three separate technical tools: The 38.2% retracement of

Fundamental Overview The USD last week came under some more pressure as a series of soft US data pushed Treasury yields lower. The NFP report on Friday wasn’t bad though, on the contrary, the data under the hood was better than the prior month. That helped the greenback to erase the weekly losses. Nevertheless, the

The USDJPY has seen up and down volatility after the US jobs report and subsequent market volatility. The tumble in US stocks and move lower in yields may have an influence as well as sellers pushed the price lower. Technically however, the low price today at 141.75, 10 apex of the low price from August

AUD/USD daily The Australian dollar chart has caught my attention today as it falls 76 pips, or 1.1%. It’s the underperformer today as the US dollar strengthens broadly and risk trades are beaten up. A week ago, it looked like it could be breaking out as it touched the highest since January but the market

The NZDUSD has moved higher. It is now moving lower in volatile trading as it digests the US jobs report and comments from Fed officials this morning including Feds Waller, Feds Goolsby, and Feds Williams. Stocks are moving lower which is leading to some risk off in the NZDUSD as well. Technically, the pair is

The USDCAD has moved to a new high and reach the next technical target at 1.35535 (see, mom months absent concepts and). THe price has not been above that moving average since August 7 nearly one month ago. A break above that level would have traders looking toward its 200-day moving average of 1.35880. Earlier

The NASDAQ index is trading to a new session low and to the lowest level going back to August 12. The move to the downside is off of mixed/weaker US jobs report. The nonfarm payroll rose less than expectations (142K vs 160K estimate) with the prior months being revised lower by 86,000 as well. The

Both the US and Canadian jobs report will released today. In the US, the market is breathing a little sigh of relief in that the numbers weren’t as weak as last month. The unemployment rate did tick down to 4.2% from 4.3%. In Canada, the unemployment rate moved higher 26.6% which was a highest level

Overall for the week, the USDCHF is little changed with highs on Monday and Tuesday and the low for the week reached today on the US jobs volatility. After trading to a new low for the week (and a new low for the year too), the price of the USDCHF has snapped back higher with

The US jobs report was a bit weaker than expectations especially when you consider the -86,000 revision to the prior month’s. Nonfarm payroll rose by 142K lower than the 161K estimate but the unemployment rate did fall to 4.2% from 4.3%. The USD dollar had an up-and-down reaction sending the three major currency pairs to

Fundamental Overview This week the growth fears came back as the we got a couple of soft US data. Most of the weakness can be attributed to the ISM Manufacturing PMI which disappointed as it missed expectations, and the new orders index dropped further into contraction. Overall, the report was much better than the prior

Broadcom will announce earnings after the close. What is expected? EPS $1.22 Revenues $12.979 THe price of Broadcom – like other chip stocks – has been hit over the last few weeks of trading. From the high on August 22 and $172.42, the price has move down to a low of $149.15 reached just yesterday.

Uh-Oh! The rise in the NASDAQ index today took the price to a high of 17295. That also extended briefly above its 200-hour moving average at 17284.26 (at the time – the current level is a little lower at 17281.12), but the momentum quickly reversed and traders started to use that moving average line as

Fundamental Overview This week the growth fears came back as the we got a couple of soft US data. Most of the weakness can be attributed to the ISM Manufacturing PMI which disappointed as it missed expectations, and the new orders index dropped further into contraction. Overall, the report was much better than the prior

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The price of crude oil is trading lower despite rumors that OPEC+ is close to delaying the planned supply hike. That comes after report on Friday that they would bring back barrels in October. The price has dropped from a high on Friday of $76.59. The current price is trading at $69.85 Technically,. The high

Fundamental Overview Yesterday, we got the US ISM Manufacturing PMI and even though the headline number missed expectations, under the hood the report was better than the prior month. The bad news was new orders falling further into contraction, which is a proxy for demand, and it’s generally considered as a leading indicator. What weighed

The NZDUSD is trading to new lows as traders react today to risk-off sentiment as stocks/commodities slide. Concerns about growth in the US and CHna iare weighing on the pair. Recall from last week, the NZDUSD peaked on Thursday after a surprise ANZ Business confidence number (50.6 vs 27.1 estimate). However, since then the price

The EURUSD rebounded on the back of the yield declines at the start of the US session, but has reversed to the downside after the pair tested the highs from yesterday and the 100 bar MA on the 4-hour chart at 1.10712. The US session high reached 1.1068 just 3 pips short of that MA

Fundamental Overview The USD has finally got some relief since last week after being battered for weeks. The focus is now on the key data this week with the ISM Manufacturing PMI today and the NFP report on Friday in the spotlight. The market is waiting for the key economic releases this week, and especially

Fundamental Overview Gold continues to trade in a tight range as the market awaits the key catalysts this week. As a reminder, the Fed is now very focused on the labour market as Fed Chair Powell said that they will not welcome any more weakness and will do everything they can to keep it strong.

Fundamental Overview After the strong push lower from last Friday when Fed Chair Powell delivered a more dovish than expected speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium, the USDCHF pair hasn’t moved much as the lack of catalysts this week kept the price action at bay. The market is waiting for the key economic releases next

Fundamental Overview Crude oil has been on a seesaw this week as we got a rally on Monday on the news that Libya was going to close down all oil fields and halt production and exports. That spike eventually got faded and prices even fell below the level seen before the news. Yesterday, we got

Yesterday at this time, the price of gold was trying to stay below the 100/200 hour MAs near $2510 (blue and green lines). Sellers could not keep the pressure on and the sellers turned to buyers. After some intraday volatility yesterday, buyers returned and pushed the price back up to the ceiling area between $2526.43