Technical Analysis

The AUD/USD has moved lower in today’s trading, breaking through and extending away from the 200-hour MA at 0.6223 and the 100-hour MA at 0.62306. This shift tilts the technical bias further in favor of the sellers, as the pair approaches key support levels near the lows from 2024 and the lowest levels since 2022.

Fundamental Overview Gold remains confined in a range as the market continues to wait for the US NFP and CPI reports. Yesterday it seemed like we could get a break above the 2660 resistance but eventually the price got smacked back down following the hot US Job Openings and ISM Services PMI. The market’s pricing

The AUD/USD has reached a new low, testing the 200-hour moving average at 0.6225 and the 100-hour moving average at 0.6227. These levels are pivotal for determining the near-term direction for both buyers and sellers. If buyers defend this area, it would signal continued support, keeping them in the game. However, a sustained move below

The AUDUSD bottomed for 2024 on the very last day of the trading year (which is unique). The price bounced higher off that low and in doing so was able to extend above a swing area off the daily chart between 0.6269 to 0.6282. See the red numbered circles on the chart below. The AUD/USD

Fundamental Overview The USD continues to remain supported since the last FOMC decision as the market perceived it as more hawkish than expected. After the rally during the low volume Christmas holidays, we are seeing a pullback pretty much across the board. The market’s pricing didn’t change much with roughly two rate cuts priced in

Crude oil futures are settling at $73.56 which is down -$0.40 or -0.54%. The high price today reached $74.96. That high was within shouting distance of the falling 200-day moving average is $75.34 ($0.38). The price has not traded above the 200-day average since October 8 (the break above that MA failed on that day).

In the video above, I take a look at both the AUDUSD and NZDUSD. Both pairs moved lower into the yearend reaching new lows for the year on the very last day of the calendar year. In the first few days of 2025, the price has moved higher with strong gains earlier today coming with

Fundamental Overview Despite the spike lower triggered by the last FOMC decision, gold didn’t extend the fall and remained confined in the range between the 2600 support and the 2721 resistance. The FOMC decision was perceived as more hawkish than expected but apart from some slight tweaks, the Fed just met the market’s pricing. The

Major US indices are closing solidly higher and in doing so are snapping multi-day losing streaks. For the Dow Industrial average it snapped its 4-day losing streak. For the broader S&P and NASDAQ indices,. they both snapped 5-day losing streaks. For the trading week, the indices are closing lower. A snapshot of the closing levels

Crude oil futures are selling and $73.96 up $0.83 or 1.13%. The settlement price is the highest since October 11. Cold weather, and Chinese policy support are being cited as reasons for the rise today and for the trading week. This week the price has risen by $4.13 or 5.5%. Looking at the daily chart,

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not

The Nasdaq indices run to the upside is continuing with the price currently up 279 points or 1.45% at 19558.42. The high price reached 19560.11. Looking at the hourly chart above, the price is also approaching its 200-hour moving average at 19571.58. The price fell below that moving average on December 30 and reached a

The USDCHF is lower on the day and testing a swing area going back to April and June 2024 between 0.9086 and 0.90978. If the sellers are to keep pushing, getting and staying below the high of that swing area (up to 0.9100 level) is required. On the downside, the rising 100-hour moving average comes

The USDCAD moved lower during the Asia-Pacific session, breaking below the 100-hour and 200-hour moving averages, which are positioned between 1.4389 and 1.4386. The decline reached a low of 1.43824 but lacked momentum to push further downward. In the early European session, the price started to stabilize near these moving average levels, and by the

TGIF! Yes it is Friday. I know I have to source my calendar as the markets continue the reheat after the Holiday season. The USD is trading modestly lower today after the rise seen yesterday. The US initial claims came in better than expected at 211K vs 222K estimate. The S&P Global PMI data was

The GBPUSD moved higher into the US open, but has since reversed lower on risk-off flows (?). Stock in the US are getting hammered in pre-market trading. Admittedly, the declines are not being pushed by any news, except Friday was soft and today, the selling is continuing. Looking at the GBPUSD, the price moved up

The USDJPY is trading in a modest range today at 59 pips vs the 22 day average (about a month of trading) at 139 pips. The price high came in at 158.064. That was just short of the high price from last week at 158.080. Sellers leaned and pushed the price mostly lower. The low

The EURUSD is trading the key technical levels to start the trading week. The initial move in the early European session saw the price moved down to test its 100 hour moving average (blue line on the hourly chart above). Buyers leaned against the level and pushed the price back higher. Recall, the 100 hour

SPX outlook: critical levels to watch for traders and investors The SPX price index is navigating a crucial technical landscape, with several key levels and indicators shaping its trajectory. A closer look reveals resistance at 6,200, support near the anchored VWAP, and the unclosed Trump Gap at 5,780, offering actionable insights for traders and in

The USDJPY moved lower in the US session but after getting within 11 pips of the rising 100 hour MA. THe price has since bounced back to 157.84 currently as the buyers remain in firm control. THe last time the price tested the 100 hour MA was back on December 17 adn Deceember 18 before

The EURUSD moved higher in the early European market and in doing so, extended above the falling 200-hour MA (green line currently at 1.04286). The high price reached 1.04433 which was short of the highs from earlier this week and the high from last Friday near 1.0448. Those highs stalled ahead of a swing area

The major US stock indices are continuing their slide with NASDAQ now down -2.10% at 19,600. S&P is down -1.40% at 5952.00 Dow industrial average is down -0.98% at 42900.29 The Russell 2000 is down -40 24 points or -1.85% at 2239.20 US yields have started to move back to the lower after the sharp

The AUDUSD moved higher in the early Asian trading after the Christmas hiatus and the move higher took the price above the 100 hour MA (blu e line currently at 0.6239). The break gave buyers some hope in the short term, but the high price ended up stalling at the underside of the broken trend

The EUR/USD is edging higher, reaching a new daily high while breaking above the 50% midpoint of the trading range since the September 2022 low, which stands at 1.04053 (see daily chart). On the hourly chart, the pair has been oscillating above and below this midpoint over the past five trading days. Following the FOMC

While UK traders celebrate Boxing Day, the GBP/USD is under pressure, falling to new session lows and extending its decline further away from the downward-sloping 100-hour moving average. The pair opened the post-Christmas trading day just below the 100-hour moving average, currently at 1.25365, and remained below it during the Asian Pacific session. As the

The USD/JPY is trading at a new high for the day, reaching last week’s peak of 157.918—the highest level since July 18. The day began near session lows at 157.122 but saw an acceleration during the early U.S. session, coinciding with the opening of the U.S. debt market. U.S. Treasury yields are also moving higher,

Christmas Eve in the US will include a shorten day in the US. The stocks will close early at 1 PM, the US bond market will close at 2 PM. The USD is mixed vs the major currencies: EUR +0.12% JPY -0.04% GBP-0.15% CHF +0.18% CAD +0.32% AUD +0.27% NZD +0.23% US stocks are mixed

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not

The GBP/USD rallied on Friday after sharp declines on Thursday, driven by the BOE’s dovish rate decision, where three members voted for a rate cut. The downward move pushed the pair below the November low of 1.24865, reaching 1.24739—the lowest level since May. However, momentum stalled, and the pair rebounded on Friday, supported by weaker-than-expected

The EURUSD moved higher on Friday but stalled at 1.0446. That was just short of a swing level on the daily chart at 1.0448. Today the high price was just short of those levels at 1.04446. The price moved lower with the USD moving back higher (EURUSD lower) in trading today. Going forward the holding