EURUSD looks to test the 61.8% retracement The EURUSD is moving to a new session low and in the process is looking to test that 61.8% retracement of the move up from the May 31 low. The low comes in at 1.08801. On Monday, the price moved below that retracement level to a low for
Technical Analysis
Like Bitcoin, Ethereum continues to surprise in light of many headwinds that range from economic issues in China and risks of higher rates if inflation remains stubbornly high given the resilience in the labour markets and consumer spending. Ethereum Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe Ethereum Daily On the daily chart, we can see that Ethereum
USDJPY trades near unchanged The USDJPY traded lower in the US session (see 4-hour chart above), but did find support near the high of a swing area between 144.898 and 145.07. The low price for the day reached 145.10. The price has rebounded back toward the close from yesterday at 145.54. Of significance is that
Dow Industrial Average is a testing at 200 hour MA The Dow Industrial Average is now down around 310 points on the day or -0.90% at 34990. Looking at the hourly chart, the price is testing/breaking below its rising 200-hour moving average of 35007.64. Move below – and stay below the level with momentum –
Last week, the US CPI came basically in line with expectations, but the good news is that the Core M/M reading once again printed at 0.2%. The less good news is that the US Initial Claims spiked higher, but Continuing Claims remained solid. We have already seen Claims spiking higher in the past months, so
Nvidia saves the day If you are looking for a savior in the stock market today, it is back to Nvidia whose shares are up $25.73 or 6.3% at $434.21. The low price for the day toyed with the $400 level at $403.11 before jumping to the upside. The catalyst was Morgan Stanley’s reiteration of
The price of WTI crude oil futures is settling at $82.51. That’s down $0.68 or -0.82%. Crude oil trades between swing area The high price today reached $83.20. The low price extended to $81.76. The low price moved below the old swing area between $82.43 and $83.44. That area was breached last week but rotated
Last week, the US CPI came basically in line with expectations, but the good news is that the Core M/M reading once again printed at 0.2% or 0.16% unrounded. The not so good news is that the US Initial Claims spiked higher coming at 248K vs. 230K expected, but Continuing Claims remained strong. We have
The NZDUSD is trading to a new low for the week and in doing so to the lowest level since the end of June/beginning of July. The price is also below the 50% midpoint of the move up from the 2022 low to the 2023 high at 0.6024. Stay below is more bearish. The next
The FOREX markets are quiet in the Asia-Pacific session. Japan is on holiday contributing to the lackluster price action. Yesterday’s US CPI data whipped traders around as well as the initial reaction was to the downside in the greenback, and then reversed back to the upside with the rise in US rates However in the
The strongest to the weakest of the major currencies The EUR and CHF are neck-and-neck for the strongest of the major currencies, while the JPY is the weakest. The USD initially moved lower after the CPI data, but quickly snapped back to the upside. The EURUSD erased all pre-release gains on the day. The GBPUSD
The EURJPY has seen up-and-down price action this week, but the most recent move has been to the upside and in doing so, has the pair retesting a key swing area ceiling between 157.90 and 158.046. Should the price move above that level it would take the pair to the highest level going all the
The AUDUSD sellers are near lows for August and also below a key swing area on the daily chart going back to September 2022. That puts the sellers in firm control. What might tilt the short term bias back to the upside today? Conversely, what would increase the bearish bias if the sellers continue to
As the clock ticks toward the key US CPI report tomorrow, the GBPUSD bias is a bit more bearish in the short term as the price has trended more to the downside over the last few weeks of trading, but it is more bullish technically by looking at the daily chart. So what next and
If you are serious about trading, key economic releases like the US CPI data provide an opportunity after the fact. They provide a more risky opportunity before the fact. Risk focuses traders will therefore look at the price action and tools applied to that price action and define levels that will increase the bullish bias
The USDJPY is ticking to a new high and is up for the 3rd consecutive day. In the process, the price is extending above a key swing area between 143.44 to 143.54. That area will now be a close risk level for traders going forward. Stay above is more bullish. Move below and we should
Ethereum, like its big brother Bitcoin, continues to surprise as it remains resilient to many headwinds. Yesterday we saw a big rally after some banking woes, which resembled the bullish reaction following the regional banking crisis seen in March. Looks like the cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are the go-to assets in case we see
Bitcoin continues to surprise as it remains resilient to many headwinds. Yesterday we even saw a big rally after some banking woes, which resembled the bullish reaction following the regional banking crisis seen in March. Looks like Bitcoin is the go-to asset in case we see more troubles in the banking sector. Anyway, the price
EURUSD stalls against the 100 hour MA The EURUSD moved modestly higher in the early trading for the day and reached up to the 100-hour MA at 1.09687. Sellers leaned against the level keeping the sellers in play. The price is modestly off the level at 1.0963 currently. On the downside, remember, the price yesterday
Last week, the NFP missed expectations for a second time in a row and the previous numbers were all revised lower. This was seen as a disappointment as the labour market seems to be a touch weaker than previously expected. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate fell once again and lessened the disappointment from the miss in
Last week, the NFP missed expectations for a second time in a row and the previous numbers were all revised lower. This was seen as a disappointment as the labour market seems to be a touch weaker than previously expected. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate fell once again and lessened the disappointment from the miss in
The USD is the strongest. The JPY is the weakest. The USD is running higher vs all the major currencies. The Chinese stock markets are set open lower which is helping to lead to a run higher in the US dollar. Technically, there are some breaks and some of the major currency pairs. EURUSD: The
Last week, the NFP missed expectations for a second time in a row and the previous numbers were all revised lower. This was seen as a disappointment as the labour market seems to be a touch weaker than previously expected and we saw a brief rally in Gold. The unemployment rate though, fell once again
Last week, the NFP missed expectations for a second time in a row and the previous numbers were all revised lower. This was seen as a disappointment as the labour market seems to be a touch weaker than previously expected. Nonetheless, the unemployment rate fell once again and lessened the disappointment from the miss in
EURUSD falls below its 200 hour moving average The EURUSD broke above its 200-hour moving average for the 1st time since July 20 during Friday’s trade and extended upward toward the high from last Monday at 1.10449, and the high from Friday, July 28 at 1.10467. However, the price fell short of those targets stalling
The EURUSD wandered lower this week and in the process dipped below the 50% midpoint of the range since the 2021 high on the daily chart at 1.0942. What the price in the EURUSD could not do is stay below the rising 100-day moving average currently at 1.09193. That moving average was tested on Wednesday
The GBPUSD is higher on the day and in the short term, the buyers are “in play”. Trading above the 100 hour MA tilts the bias in that direction but there is work to do. Looking at the daily chart, the technical picture is more in the buyer’s favor. What I like about it technically,
EURUSD trades to a new session high The EURUSD has extended to a new session high as London/European traders look toward the end of week. The price is approaching the swing high from Monday near 1.10449. The high price from last Friday reached 1.10467. The 38.2% retracement of the move down from the July high
EURUSD on the hourly chart The EURUSD dipped lower as popost-jobsolatility takes over. The technical’s are also in play in the EURUSD pair. The run to the upside today was able to extend above its 200 hour moving average and 38.2% retracement of the move down from last week’s high at 1.1002. The break that
The AUDUSD followed the trend in the US dollar to the downside, but Azucena reversal over the last few minutes. Technically the price moved above its 100-hour moving average of 0.65975. It also moved above a swing area between 0.6595 and 0.6603. The high price reached 0.6607 but has since rotated back to the downside
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