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Technical Analysis
The EURJPY is trading in and up and down range over the last 5 – 6 weeks with most of the activity between 156.86 and 159.48. There have been a few wonders above and below that area, but those breaks were brief and did not gather much momentum. In trading today, the price has rebounded
The AUDUSD traded at the week’s low on Monday in the 1st hour of trading at 0.63706. The price moved sharply higher on that day, but by Wednesday, the price had rotated back down toward the lows into a swing area between 0.63791 and 0.63874. Support buyers came in against that level and pushed the
The major US stock indices are trading at session lows as European traders start to look for the exits for the week. The NASDAQ index is now down around 1.3%. The S&P index is down -0.89%. All the major indices are back below its 50 day moving averages after closing above those moving averages yesterday.
This week, the USDCHF has experienced an upward price movement, consistently remaining above the key swing area range of 0.89347 to 0.89472. The price surpassed this range in yesterday’s trading session and has maintained its position above this threshold today. Looking upwards, there’s a notable trend line at 0.8984, followed by a significant range between
The US dollar has moved lower after the University of Michigan data came in weaker than expectations. The one year inflation expectation came in at 3.1% versus 3.5%. The 5 year inflation expectations was at 2.7% versus 3.0%. The sentiment indices were also lower than expectations. EURUSD: The EURUSD was trying to hold below a
The USDCAD has spiked higher over the last few hours after testing the low from yesterday and a swing area down to 1.3494. The inability to extend with momentum to the downside gave buyers the opportunity to stick a toe in the water near the floor area. The last few hours have seen the price
The ‘sell the fact’ mode continues in the euro. The surprise rate hike was priced in after the leak on Monday and now the sellers are arriving with ECB President Christine Lagarde strongly suggesting that the central bank is done hiking rates. A close below the 1.0635 level would confirm a fresh leg lower.
USDCAD falls to new session lows The USDCAD is trading to a new session alone in the process is testing a swing area between 1.3494 and 1.35039. Below that is the September 1 low at 1.34889. Get below those levels and traders will start to think about the 200 day moving average down at 1.3464
As traders react to the stronger US data and the ECB rate decision to increase rates by 25 basis points, what are the technical levels in play given the early North American price action. EURUSD. The EURUSD traded to a new low for the month and lowest level since June despite the ECB rate hike
Bitcoin daily with 50dma and 100dma A death cross has formed on the bitcoin daily chart as the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average. The last time there was a death cross, bitcoin fell from $42,400 down to $15,700 from January to November of 2022 — a 63% decline. It’s a popular
Ethereum keeps on falling and making new lows as the outlook is turning more and more bearish given the headwinds from global growth and tight monetary policies. All the positive news eventually gets faded, which is another sign that the big picture trend remains bearish. Amid this high uncertainty, the technicals can help with risk
Bitcoin remains rangebound on a key support level as the outlook is turning more and more bearish given the headwinds from global growth and tight monetary policies. All the positive news eventually gets faded, which is another sign that the big picture trend remains bearish. Amid this high uncertainty, the technicals can help with risk
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid. Overall, the economic data
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid. Overall, the economic data
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid. Overall, the economic data
Last week the US data surprised to the upside with the ISM Services PMI and Jobless Claims beating expectations by a big margin. The market didn’t like the strong data as it raises the chances of another rate hike in November. In fact, the Nasdaq Composite sold off following the PMI beat with some consolidation
Last week the US data surprised to the upside with the ISM Services PMI and Jobless Claims beating expectations by a big margin. The market didn’t like the strong data as it raises the chances of another rate hike in November. In fact, the S&P500 sold off following the PMI beat with some consolidation thereafter,
Gold is still stuck in a range as the economic data remains mixed. We got very strong economic releases in August that led to a selloff in Gold as real yields and the US Dollar rose, ultimately weighing on the yellow metal. In the past couple of weeks though, the data started to weaken, especially
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid. Overall, the economic data
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid. Overall, the economic data
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid. Overall, the economic data
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid. Overall, the economic data
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid. Overall, the economic data
DIS stock daily Shares of Disney are down another 1.5% today and are now perilously close to the COVID intraday low of $79.07, set on March 17, 2020 when Disney theme parks were shut down and and the world was in full panic about a devastating pandemic and economic collapse. Pre-pandemic it was trading at
Yesterday, the US ISM Services PMI beat expectations by a big margin and caused a selloff in the Nasdaq Composite. The market pricing for future interest rates expectations turned a little bit more hawkish with basically a 50/50 chance of another hike in November and less rates cuts in 2024. Last week we got a
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly tight. Overall, the economic data
Yesterday, the US ISM Services PMI beat expectations by a big margin and caused a selloff in the Dow Jones. The market pricing for future interest rates expectations turned a little bit more hawkish with basically a 50/50 chance of another hike in November and less rates cuts in 2024. Last week we got a
Yesterday, the US ISM Services PMI beat expectations by a big margin and caused a selloff in the Russell 2000. The market pricing for future interest rates expectations turned a little bit more hawkish with basically a 50/50 chance of another hike in November and less rates cuts in 2024. Last week we got a
It’s been a one-way trade in the US stock market since the strong ISM services reading and it’s continuing. Last week, I highlighted the possibility of a head-and-shoulders pattern shaping up on the S&P 500 and today’s drop adds to the case. We’re still a long ways from breaking the neckline but I suspect the
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