Fundamental Overview The lack of catalysts recently kept the US Dollar supported across the board despite the slowdown in momentum. The market might now be looking forward to the first weeks of November when we will get the key economic data, the FOMC decision and the US elections. There’s been also a good argument that
Technical Analysis
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The AUDUSD traded above and below the 100-day MA last week at 0.9695. The price moved above the MA on Thursday/Friday and closed above that MA tilting the bias in the buyers favor. However, today, the price moved below the MA in the European session and stayed below in the US session. What I like
Fundamental Overview The lack of catalysts recently kept the US Dollar supported across the board despite the slowdown in momentum. The market might now be looking forward to the first weeks of November when we will get the key economic data, the FOMC decision and the US elections. There’s been also a good argument that
aCrude Oil Futures Weekly Forecast: Bears in Control, Watching Key Support Levels 📉 Crude Oil Futures (CL1!) are showing clear signs of bearish momentum, with prices falling sharply in recent weeks. This is reflected in the weekly chart, where the market has consistently respected a long-term descending resistance line (marked in red as the bottom
There are some small wins for seller in the USDJPY from a technical perspective: The price stalled ahead of a topside trend line yesterday on the hourly chart (see chart above) . The inability to get to the level is a small negative. The price fell below an upward-sloping trend line on the hourly chart
The EURUSD is trading higher and is approaching key resistance near 1.0871 to open 08746. Within that area is the 100 hour moving average at 1.0871 61.8% retracement of 1.08746 200 day moving average at 1.0872 The high price yesterday reached 1.0873. The area is key for both buyers and sellers. A move above, gives
Shares of Apple are trading at $235 or up $2.85 or 1.22%. Closing this level would suppress the all-time high close level of $234.82 reached on July 16. Wedbush was out with a report today saying Apple’s iPhone 16 sales in China are forecasted to see a significant rebound over the next year. The analysts
The NZDUSD price action this week has been lower, but there also has seen a lot of ups and downs and consolidation after the sharp move lower from the end of September high at 0.6377 to the low this week at 0.6038 (12 days from top to the bottom) Technically, the NZDUSD has been behaving
The USDCAD buyers remain in control in what has been an up-and-down trading week that did see the pair move to the highest level since August 6th. At the price high this week, the USDCAD moved into a swing area going back to the end of July early August between 1.38337 and 1.38475. Sellers leaned
The USDCHF this week extended above a swing area between 0.86078 and 0.8619, and then the 38.2% retracement of the move down from the July high to the September low at 0.86318. Yesterday there was a corrective move that took the price briefly below the 38.2% retracement, but only by a few pips before the
TGIF. The USD is trading lower to start the last trading day of the week.The EURUSD and GBPUSD are higher. The USJDPY is lower. What are the technicals are driving each of the major currency pairs. I will outline them in the video above. Below is a written summary: EURUSD: The EURUSD is rebounding after
Fundamental Overview The PBoC tonight announced new easing measures which included further rate cuts and stock buyback funding. Moreover, we got some positive economic data with Retail Sales and Industrial Production beating expectations by a big margin. These catalysts might see dip-buyers piling into the market again after last week’s big correction. Hang Seng Index
The EURUSD has been trending to the downside recently, and in the process has extended toward August low levels. My most recent technical videos on the pair, have been focused on the 4-hour chart as the market trended lower. If you watch the kickstart video from earlier today I also spoke to the 200-day moving
The USDCAD moved up for 9 consecutive days and was on its way to 10 straight on Tuesday before hitting a resistance target area near 1.3833 to 1.3847 and finding sellers/profit takers. The move back to the downside saw the price move down for 2 days and back to a low today of 1.3743 –
Fundamental Overview The US Dollar has been gaining ground across the board this week despite the lack of economic data and lower Treasury yields, essentially moving forward by inertia. Stanley Druckenmiller said in an interview yesterday that the market is already positioning for a Trump victory given the moves in some stocks like DJT for
As the US session works to a close and the Asian Pacific looks to restart, the NZDUSD is pushing the 61.8% retracement target at 0.60509. If the price can move back below that retracement, the low from the first hours of the trading day today down at 0.60387, followed by the low of a swing
The AUDUSD fell below its 100-day moving average earlier in the Asian session at 0.6694, and after bouncing off a Asian session low of 0.6667, the subsequent corrective high found willing sellers near that moving average level and below the 0.6700 natural resistance level. The last few hours have seen more downside momentum which is
Fundamental Overview The bullish momentum in the US Dollar seems to be waning despite the recent higher-than-expected US CPI and PPI reports. One caveat is that the market has now priced out the aggressive rate cuts expectations and it’s almost perfectly in line with the Fed’s projections. Therefore, we will likely need more strong US
Fundamental Overview The bullish momentum in the US Dollar seems to be waning despite the recent higher-than-expected US CPI and PPI reports. One caveat is that the market has now priced out the aggressive rate cuts expectations and it’s almost perfectly in line with the Fed’s projections. Therefore, we will likely need more strong US
The Dow Jones Futures have been trading within a well-established upward price channel since October 2022, with clear instances of both resistance and support interactions within the channel. Dow Jones futures – important potential sell zone to watch Key Highlights of the Dow Jones futures chart below: Price Channel Overview: The price has respected the
The EURJPY has been forming a ceiling over the last few weeks of trading. That ceiling comes between 163.478 and 163.60. Today’s high stalled against that level and rotated to the downside. The current price trades at 163.293. Although lower, there is a key target on the downside that needs to be broken if the
The AUDUSD is trading at 0.6723 which is near the middle of close resistance at a swing area up to 0.6768 and close support with the 100 day moving average and 0.66929 and the low of a swing area at 0.6685. The true midpoint of that range is 0.6725. With the price at 0.6723 the
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The NZDUSD traded above and below the 100-day MA this week but above the 200-day MA (green line) into the mid-week RBNZ rate decision. The central bank cut rates by 50 basis points and that sent the pair below the 61.8% but buyers came in against the 61.8% retracement. The subsequent bounce off the low
The AUDUSD moved lower a week ago on the stronger-than-expected US jobs report. However, the price remained above its 200 bar moving average on the 4-hour chart (green line on the chart below). It wasn’t until Monday that the price broke below that level (currently at 0.6779) and ran lower. The low price initially stalled
The USDCAD has been trending to the upside since bottoming on October 2 near 1.3472. The momentum over the last eight trading days has taken the price up to a high of 1.37826. That took the price to the low of the next swing area target between 1.3784 and 1.38036 (going back to April 2024
A week ago today, the USDCHF made a break to the upside and out of the “Red Box” that had confined the pair going back to August 20. The US jobs report was the catalyst for the move higher, but by Monday, the price fell back to the high of that “red box” and even
The US PPI data came out and showed the YoY higher than expectations (but the headline was lower than the revised higher level), but the MoM data was more tame. The short end of the yield curve is a little lower. The long end, not so much. The US stocks are steady but lower on
Fundamental Overview Yesterday, the USD got a boost from a higher than expected US CPI report but gave back the gains pretty quickly. There are two reasons for such a reaction. The first is that at the same time of the US CPI release we got the US Jobless Claims figures which jumped to the
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