Technical Analysis

Fundamental Overview The US Dollar continues to consolidate despite the higher-than-expected inflation figures and a less dovish Powell last week. The market’s pricing remained largely unchanged at three rate cuts by the end of 2025. This is generally a signal that the market is fine with the current pricing, and we would need stronger reasons

The USDJPY, GBPUSD and the USDCHF have each seen up and down action today. For the USDJPY and GBPUSD, the price action traded above and below the 100 hour MA. Both also used that MA as either support (for the USDJPY) or resistance (for the GBPUSD). That helps to increase the MAs importance going forward

The EURUSD moved to a new high for the week in the early trading hours from the Asian Pacific market, but found willing sellers against topside resistance near 1.06097. That was the high of a swing area between 1.06005 and 1.06097. The price also stayed below its falling 200-hour moving average. That moving average is

Fundamental Overview The US Dollar continues to consolidate despite the higher-than-expected inflation figures and a less dovish Powell last week. The market’s pricing remained largely unchanged at three rate cuts by the end of 2025. This might be a signal that the market is now fine with the current pricing, and we will need stronger

The AUDUSD moved lower earlier in the day and that move to the downside tested a swing area between 0.6471 and 0.6479. The low price for the day reached 0.6481 before bouncing back to the upside. The move to the upside did extend back above a swing area going back to mid July between 0.6505

The USD is tilting lower in the US session and that has the USDCAD and the USDCHF moving below a technical level increasing the bearish bias at least in the short term. For the USDCAD, the price has moved below the 200 hour MA at 1.3977 and also the 2022 high price at 1.3978. Breaking

Fundamental Overview Last week, despite the higher-than-expected inflation figures and a less dovish Powell, the US Dollar couldn’t extend the gains. The market’s pricing remained largely unchanged at three rate cuts by the end of 2025. This might be a signal that the market is now fine with the current pricing, and we will need

The AUDUSD – like other pairs vs the USD today – has moved sharply lower over the last 6 /7 trading days, over that period, the high price on November 7 reached 0.6687. The low price on Thursday last week reached 0.64402. At the high, the price stalled just ahead of the 100 day MA.

The EURUSD is stretching to the upside with the price now moving away from the 100-hour MA at 1.05659. That MA was broken earlier today after finding sellers against the moving average level on Friday and again earlier today. Although the price traded above and below the 100-hour moving average on the first break (the

Fundamental Overview Last week, despite the higher-than-expected inflation figures and a less dovish Powell, the US Dollar couldn’t extend the gains. The market’s pricing remained largely unchanged at three rate cuts by the end of 2025. This might be a signal that the market is now fine with the current pricing, and we will need

It is a Buy BUT not yet. Let me explain. Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) remains one of the most popular and closely watched stocks on the market, known for its innovation and dominance in the tech space. But with META trading near its all-time highs earlier this year, many investors are asking: Is it time

I’ve been pounding the table for awhile on USD/CAD longs and it’s all come together in the past two months, with a one-way move up through a series of highs in the 1.3950 range. Now the pair has clearly broken out and it’s due to a soft Canadian economy and a surprisingly strong one in

Fundamental Overview The Nasdaq rallied into a new all-time high following Trump’s victory and the red sweep as the market started to look forward to bullish drivers like tax cuts and deregulation. The only bearish reason people were looking at was the rise in Treasury yields. That’s generally bearish only when the Fed is tightening

Fundamental Overview The S&P 500 rallied into a new all-time high following Trump’s victory and the red sweep as the market started to look forward to bullish drivers like tax cuts and deregulation. The only bearish reason people were looking at was the rise in Treasury yields. That’s generally bearish only when the Fed is

Fundamental Overview The US Dollar yesterday weakened across the board despite a higher than expected US Core PPI and Fed Chair Powell acknowledging the need to proceed more carefully with rate cuts from here on. This might be a signal that the market could be fine with just two rate cuts priced in for 2025

Fundamental Overview The US Dollar yesterday weakened across the board despite a higher than expected US Core PPI and Fed Chair Powell acknowledging the need to proceed more carefully with rate cuts from here on. This might be a signal that the market could be fine with just two rate cuts priced in for 2025

Fundamental Overview Gold is pulling back a bit now after an almost 8% selloff since the US election day. The market didn’t react hawkishly after another hot US PPI report and an acknowledgement from Fed Chair Powell that they can proceed carefully on rate cuts. The market might be fine with just two rate cuts

The price of the NZDUSD moved below a swing area of lows going back to 2023 between 0.58488 and 0.58592. That area encompassed the last five swing lows going back to November 2023 (see numbered circles on the chart above). Getting below those level was a path to lower level including the swing low from

After rebounding after the US election last week, and approaching the AUDUSDs 100 day MA, buyers turned to sellers and have pushed the price lower ever since. For this week, each of the days have been lower Will today make it 5 for 5? Technically, in order to turn the bias around and give the

The EURUSD fell to new low in 2024 and low going back to October 2023 in trading yesterday. The low price reached to 1.0495. That low got within 12 pips of the low swing area target at 1.0483 (see red circles on the chart above). The price rebounded into the close with the pair moving

Fundamental Overview The US CPI yesterday came in line with expectations leading to a bit of a “sell the fact” reaction in the US Dollar. The bullish momentum picked up a bit later though as Fed’s Logan delivered a hawkish comment saying that “models show that Fed funds could be very close to neutral” basically

The price of gold traded as high as $2618.84. At session highs, the price was up $20.94 and it looked like the 3-day slide was going to be snapped. However, the price has since reversed back to the downside and the price is now trading down -$22.26 or -0.87% at $2575.49. Technically, the price has

The GBP/USD has declined in trading today, breaking below the 61.8% retracement level of the move up from the April 2024 low, which sits at 1.2732. Yesterday, the price briefly dipped below this key retracement level before rebounding back upward. However, today’s session has seen renewed selling pressure as the pair failed to hold above

The EURUSD ran to a new low which extended to a low of 1.0555. That moved away from the 2024 old low at 1.06005. Recall yesterday, the price moved below that level to a low of 1.0594. In trading today the price moved to a new low of 1.0592 but each break failed. After the

Fundamental Overview Gold is now down almost 6% from the US election day. That shouldn’t be surprising as the last time we got a red sweep gold dropped by more than 16%. The reason is that a red sweep brings a more expansionary fiscal policy and should be not only positive for growth but also

The USDCHF has moved up to a high of 0.88357. That is just short of a high swing area on the daily chart above at 0.88379. Get above that level and stay above, opens the door for more upside momentum. ON the downside, the closest risk is the 200 day MA, but more conservative risk

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Fundamental Overview The puzzling weakness in the US Dollar following Trump’s victory looks more and more like it was just a “sell the fact” reaction. The greenback is now back in the driving seat, and we might also be seeing some pre-positioning into a potentially hot US CPI report tomorrow. At the latest Fed’s decision,

More records are reached today: Dow industrial average closes over 44,000 for the first time ever S&P index closes above the 6000 level the first time ever NASDAQ index closes at a new record level as well For the Russell 2000 it lasts record close was back on November 8, 2021 at 2442.21. The index

The price of crude oil is trading down $-2.20 or -3.12% at $68.20. That’s the lowest level since October 30. The price reached a peak on Thursday at $72.84. That the price briefly above its 38.2% retracement of the move down from the July high at $72.59. However on Friday, the price fell below its