Technical Analysis

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not

As the trading day nears its close, USDCHF is testing the lower boundary of its multi-week trading range, which has been in place since mid-December. On the 4-hour chart, the pair formed a double top at the January high two weeks ago before reversing lower. Last week, the price found buyers at range support (0.8965

The GBPUSD is trading to a new high and in the process is testing a key swing area up to 1.2670 and the 100-day MA at 1.2666. The high price just reached 1.2670. This is a key technical level for both buyers and sellers. Move above and stay above and traders will start to look

Fundamental Overview The US Dollar this week has been erasing some of the losses experienced last week after the benign US PPI and the Trump’s reciprocal tariffs announcement. There hasn’t been any notable catalyst this week to support the greenback although some analysts pointed to less dovish comments from Fed’s Waller on Tuesday which would

The price of Palantir is trading down $-15 or -12% at $109.48 after Pres. Trump ordered the Pentagon to cut budget by 8%. The price of Palantir reached a new all-time high of $125.41 in trading today before rotating to the downside. You can argue that the software that Palantir provides might be what the

The S&P and NASDAQ indices are positive on the day and trading near session highs. S&P index is up 14.15 points or 0.23% at 6143.79. Yesterday index closed at a record high. Anything positive today would be a another record high NASDAQ index is up 40 points or 0.20% at 20081 The Dow industrial average

The US dollar is mixed as the North American traders enter for the day. In the video above, I outline for traders the technical levels that are in play for the three major currency pairs – the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD. The USD is higher versus the EUR and the GBP, but lower vs the

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not

USDCHF buyers defended key support near 0.8965 – 0.8974 last week, leading to a price stall and a subsequent rebound. Monday’s low also held near this area before a modest upside move, reinforcing its significance as a key support zone. Today, the pair broke above a higher swing area (0.8997 – 0.9011), with a corrective

The USD is mostly higher vs the major currencies with market focus on ongoing meetings between U.S. officials and Russian counterparts to discuss a resolution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. However, the absence of Ukraine and European representatives raises doubts about potential progress. The dollar is stronger by 0.27% vs the EUR, and 0.22% vs the

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is set to cut interest rates for the first time in four years when it announces its decision later today at 10:30 PM ET. The benchmark rate has remained at 4.35% for 10 consecutive meetings, and with inflation easing, the RBA is now positioned to begin a rate-cutting cycle.

Trade Compass – NASDAQ Futures (February 17, 2025, and perhaps for this week, depending on how NQ price develops… Check out these key price levels on the map) NASDAQ Futures is currently trading at 22,230, sitting just slightly below today’s VWAP, which is around 22,233. At this moment, the market is neutral, and Trade Compass

Fundamental Overview The US Dollar fell across the board in the final part of last week for two main reasons. The US PPI report came in higher than expected but the focus was on the details that feed into the Core PCE index, which is what the Fed focuses on. Those details were all very

The NASDAQ index has moved back above the 20,000 level reaching a high of 20,006.26. The last time the price was above 20,000 was back on February 24. The high price that day reached 20,118.61 before rotating lower and closing below the 20,000 level at 19,954.30. At the same time, the S&P is back above

USDCHF technicals The USDCHF is experiencing a sharp decline for the second consecutive day. Despite Swiss CPI inflation coming in lower than expected at -0.1% MoM and 0.4% YoY, while US CPI and PPI showed stronger inflation, the pair has moved lower instead of higher—suggesting that other factors, such as geopolitical risks, political developments, and

USDCAD technicals The USDCAD broke lower this week after two failed upside breakouts in the previous weeks, which briefly pushed the pair beyond the “Red Box” range between 1.4260 and 1.4466 on tariff-related news. Unlike those sharp but unsustained rallies, this week’s move lower has been more measured, with a steady decline following the break

The US dollar is continuing its run to the downside. Th slide in yields continue to support the dollar selling. The 10 year yield is now down -5.1 basis points at 4.474%. The USD is the weakest vs the NZD with the greenback falling -0.86%. The dollar is moving down -0.74% vs the AUD as

Retail sales missed expectations across the board, signaling a weak start to the year. Headline retail sales fell -0.9% (vs. -0.1% expected), while the control group declined -0.8% (vs. +0.3% expected). Although there were minor upward revisions to the prior month, the overall data was disappointing. Factors such as California wildfires, adverse weather, tariffs, and

Above is the kickstart forex video where I take a look at the technicals driving the three major currency pairs- the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD. Each pair is seeing a lower USD after declines yesterday. Below is a snapshot of the changes of the major currency pairs: The run lower in the USD was partially

Fundamental Overview Yesterday, the US PPI report came in higher than expected but the focus was on the details that feed into the Core PCE index, which is what the Fed focuses on. Those details were all very soft and helped to bring the early estimates down to more benign levels. In fact, the Core

Fundamental Overview Yesterday, the US PPI report came in higher than expected but the focus was on the details that feed into the Core PCE index, which is what the Fed focuses on. Those details were all very soft and helped to bring the early estimates down to more benign levels. In fact, the Core

Fundamental Overview Yesterday, the US PPI report came in higher than expected but the focus was on the details that feed into the Core PCE index, which is what the Fed focuses on. Those details were all very soft and helped to bring the early estimates down to more benign levels. In fact, the Core

AUDUSD is pushing the upper limit The AUDUSD is pushing the upper limit – well breaking through as I type . The next target comes in at 0.6331. Admittedly, the price has been in a volatile up and down range over the last 7 or so days. The low of the range comes in at

Trump decides to go ahead with the Memorandum to introduce recipricol tariff plan. The USD moved higher and then it moved back down. The US stocks dipped a little and then rebounded. The US yields moved around as well but is now trading at session lows. The 10 year is down -11.5 basis points. In

Fundamental Overview The Nasdaq sold off yesterday following the higher than expected US CPI report. Stocks didn’t extend to new lows though as the market was aware of the “January-effect” and therefore didn’t put much weight on this particular release. What weigh more on the market were the positive headlines on the reciprocal tariffs as

The USDJPY stretched to a swing high of 154.79. Earlier today in a post, I wrote: The next key target lies in the 154.77–154.967 zone, where the 50% midpoint of the 2025 trading range sits at 154.897. This level, situated within the swing area (see red numbered circles), could act as a resistance zone where

The USD/CHF spiked higher following the CPI data, reaching an upside target near 0.9152 before fluctuating during Fed Chair comments. The subsequent pullback found support at a key swing area low of 0.9128, reinforcing the significance of this level. Holding above 0.9128 keeps the short-term bias bullish, with buyers maintaining control. A break below, however,

Fundamental Overview The USD got a short term boost recently as Trump floated reciprocal tariffs. That came after a good US NFP report where the data was mixed at best but still pointing to strength. The jump in average hourly earnings caught the eye but that might have been distorted by the drop in average

After a massive rally of over 19%, NVIDIA (NVDA) stock is at a crucial technical juncture. In this comprehensive technical analysis, we dive deep into the key chart patterns, pivot points, and potential scenarios using advanced technical tools—most notably, the modified Schiff pitchfork. A detailed video analysis is also embedded below for those who prefer

The US stock have taken a turn to the downside with the NASDAQ index leading the way. The NASDAQ index is now down -0.64% at 19590. The low price just reached 19579.77. On the downside, the price of the NASDAQ is approaching its 200 hour moving average at 19569.54. (Green line on the chart below).