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Month: February 2025
The USDCHF broke to new 2025 lows yesterday with momentum. In the post yesterday (see post here and the chart from that post below), I targeted the swing area at 0.8914 to 0.8923 and warned that the area “should give buyers a cause to pause” the move lower. USDCHF The chart below shows that buyers
The US Dollar recovers on Wednesday, traders mulling upcoming President Trum speech. Markets see rate cut bets by the Fed increase with Tump’s tariffs set to kick in at the start of March. The US Dollar Index (DXY) resides near yearly lows, looking for a bounce. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance
The Kremlin said that “contacts are being prepared at the expert level through the ministries of foreign affairs”. Adding that a Trump-Putin meeting is still on the cards but only after thorough preparations have been made. No further details were given as to where or when that might happen. Meanwhile, Ukraine president Zelenskyy is to
Fundamental Overview Gold dropped yesterday following the weak US consumer confidence report. The main culprit for the weakness in gold was the selloff in the US stock market as it tightens financial conditions when it’s aggressive. The problem here is that we got weaker economic data with increasing inflation expectations. The market might be fearing
EUR/USD slips as the DXY climbs toward 106.50, driven by rising US yields. The US Dollar faced headwinds due to weakening US consumer confidence. The Euro found support from growing optimism following reports that Germany considers a €200 billion emergency defense fund. EUR/USD retraces its recent gains registered in the previous session, trading around 1.0500
This is via eFX: Synopsis: Nomura’s time-zone analysis suggests that USD/JPY has been trading more resiliently during Asian sessions, likely due to onshore FX demand from Japanese importers and retail investors. This could provide dip-buying support for the pair, even as BoJ rate hike expectations limit the upside. Key Points: USD/JPY Strength During Asian Trading
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The NZDUSD has seen the price move lower in trading today as risk-off sentiment led to declines. Having said that, the fall was not without it’s ups and downs intraday. Nevertheless, technically speaking, the first corrective high in the Asia-Pacific session stalled against the 100-hour moving average (blue line on the chart below). The rest
Mexican Peso steadies as market sentiment remains bearish on trade risks. Trump confirms tariffs on Mexico are moving forward, pressuring the Peso. Banxico signals further 50 bps rate cuts as inflation nears the 3% target. US-Mexico trade talks continue, with a potential breakthrough expected Friday. The Mexican Peso (MXN) recovers from earlier losses and turns
Zelensky’s government is ready to sign the US minerals deal after the US dropped demands for a right to $500 billion in potential revenue, according to the FT. The report has helped to lift the euro and boost broader sentiment. he finalized agreement, reviewed by the FT, outlines the creation of a fund to which
Reserve Index Protocol introduces DTFs, allowing anyone to create, trade, and redeem crypto index products with instant 24/7 access and real-time transparency. Today, ABC Labs, the team behind Reserve, launches their Reserve Index Protocol, which offers a first-of-its-kind, build-your-own ETF-like experience to crypto. The Index Protocol’s Decentralized Token Folios (DTFs) bring everyday investors and institutions
The AUDUSD is dipping below the swing area target between 0.6327 0.6336. That area was an initial support going back to December which then tilted to resistance. That resistance level held until breaking above on February 14. Since then, the price has bottomed twice in the last week’s trading and and try to hold support
An outlier day for Gold this Tuesday with losses on the quote board. The Trump administration seeks to corner China and toughens its semiconductor restrictions. Gold heads back to $2,935, though remains to look heavy with an overall market rout. Gold’s price (XAU/USD) has hit a new all-time high on Monday at $2,956, just hours before the Trump administration
The International Trading Institute (ITI) is setting a new standard for trader education with the launch of its Master’s in Trading Program—a structured, comprehensive, mentor-led program designed to turn ambitious traders into market professionals. The part-time program delivers expert training in trading psychology, risk management, algorithmic strategies, and advanced market analysis across all major asset
In case you missed it: Trump Confirms tariffs on Canada, Mexico ‘will go forward’ The reaction among major currencies has been relatively muted, with the dollar also not doing much today. USD/JPY was the only one that showed some response with the pair moving up to 150.30 but is now flat at 149.70 again. Besides
Crude Oil Futures Analysis for February 25, 2025 – tradeCompass At the time of this analysis, crude oil futures (CL) are trading at $71.05. Today’s TradeCompass strategy remains open to both bullish and bearish scenarios, depending on whether price crosses key thresholds. 🔹 Bullish Outlook TradeCompass will only turn bullish above $71.63, which would place
The Indian Rupee weakens in Tuesday’s Asian session. Renewed US Dollar demand and persistent foreign outflows continue to weigh on the INR. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence is due later on Tuesday. The Indian Rupee (INR) edges lower on Tuesday. The local currency remains under pressure amid US Dollar (USD) demand from oil companies and
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
Mexican Peso slips as monetary policy divergence with Fed fuels further upside. USD/MXN climbs 0.14% to 20.43 as Banxico signals additional 50-bps rate cuts. Mexico’s Q4 GDP contracts by 0.6%, raising recession concerns. Traders eye Mexico’s Current Account, Balance of Trade, and jobs data this week. The Mexican Peso (MXN) slipped against the US Dollar
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The NASDAQ index opened higher on the day reaching a peak of 19644.23. That was up 120.22 points and it highs. Since then, the price has rotated to the downside and is currently down – 100 points or -0.52% at 19423. Disappointing the buyers was that at the high price for the day, the price
AUD/USD retreats from 0.6400 as the US Dollar recovers its intraday losses. Investors digest weak preliminary US S&P Global PMI data for February. Going forward, Australian monthly CPI data for January will influence RBA’s policy outlook. The AUD/USD pair pares gains after rising to near 0.6400 in late European trading hours on Monday. The Aussie
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The Japanese Yen climbs to an two-month high against the USD amid BoJ rate hike bets. Retreating JGB yields caps the JPY and assists USD/JPY to bounce off sub-149.00 levels. The emergence of fresh USD selling keeps a lid on any meaningful recovery for the pair. The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains on the front foot
I posted last month on what appeared, to me, to be the end of the US dollar uptrend: One of the traps that some folks fall into is that if an uptrend breaks then we must be in a downtrend. Don’t ask me how I know this trap 😉 In that post a month ago
AI hype and data-center capex have been major market drivers in the past year but there is some angst lately about how much is being spent and whether there is a real business case for it all. That really kicked off with DeepSeek undercutting cost assumptions and now there is a TD note doing the
UPCOMING EVENTS: Monday: German IFO. Tuesday: US Consumer Confidence. Wednesday: Australia Monthly CPI. Thursday: Switzerland Q4 GDP, US Durable Goods Orders, US Q4 GDP (2nd estimate), US Jobless Claims. Friday: Tokyo CPI, France CPI, Germany CPI, Canada GDP, US PCE. Tuesday The US Consumer Confidence is expected at 103.0 vs. 104.1 prior. The last report
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
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