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Month: September 2019
Maybe another issue to watch for risk assets? Or is this a storm in a teacup? Via Washington Post (and others reporting similar): Speaker Nancy Pelosi has been quietly sounding out top allies and lawmakers about whether the time has come to impeach President Trump, according to multiple Democratic officials She was making calls as
Japan’s Kyodo News recently shared the Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif’s discussion with Japanese counterpart Toshimitsu Motegi at the sidelines of the United Nation’s General Assembly. The news mentioned Mr. Zarif saying Iran will seek to avoid war amid heightened tensions in the Middle East. The news report also highlighted the Iranian diplomat’s appreciation
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US DOLLAR CURRENCY VOLATILITY TURNS TO SEPTEMBER CONSUMER CONFIDENCE REPORT USD price action is aiming higher but high-impact economic event risk on deck could keep the greenback bogged down due to the potential impact on future Fed monetary policy decisions US Dollar implied volatility is running above average but could be underpriced in light of
Dow up. S&P unchanged. Nasdaq down marginally The US major indices ran out of steam in the last minutes of trading, and the price action sent the indices off highs. The final numbers are showing: Dow rose 14.92 points or 0.06% at 26949.99. The high reached 27011.07. The low extended to 26831.34. S&P closed near unchanged at 2991.78.
The Sterling starts the week on the back foot as the currency pair is down for the second consecutive day. The level to beat for sellers is the 1.2417 support level. GBP/USD daily chart The Sterling is trading is in a downtrend below the 100 and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The market is currently
GBPUSD remains below its 200 hour moving average Irish Prime Minister Varadkar and EUs Donald Tusk met and according to sources both agreed that there is no UK proposals yet that meet objectives of the backstop. Tusk adds: we continue looking for how to avoid a disorderly Brexit The GBPUSD remains near low levels with the price on the
Gold higher for third day Gold touched $1527 in a spurt of buying a short time ago. Buy stops were hit above the Sept 12 high of $1524. The break is a good sign that gold has formed a base above $1480. A close above $1524 would be further confirmation. Silver has similarly sprung above
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US Oil falls US Oil is now falling on the production level news reported earlier here. I typed up a trade primer for oil production news earlier this am. See here where I wrote: The time that the repairs would take is the obvious prices shifter in oil prices. Quick repairs: lower oil prices.
Friday’s not so encouraging Brexit headlines prompted some long-unwinding trade. A goodish pickup in the USD demand exerted some additional pressure on Monday. The USD buying picked up some pace in the last hour and dragged the GBP/USD pair to near one-week lows, around the 1.2425 region in the last hour. Having failed to capitalize on
EURUSD Price Charts and Analysis: EURUSD may sink further as 1.1000 gives way again. Germany is expected to be in recession in Q3. Q3 2019 EUR and USD Forecasts and Top Trading Opportunities EURUSD Sinks as German Economic Woes Continue The German economy is likely to fall into recession in the third-quarter of 2019, ‘as
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I hope Boris does not get his hopes up too high, Trump’s history of striking trade deals is a poor one Reuters headline at this stage, more details to come … ok, here we go: Trump and Johnson could publicly commit to the timeline when they meet in New York this week “The political will
USD/IDR nears a week-long range’s support. 4H 200MA limits immediate upside. RSI portrays normal condition, indicating the range-trading to continue. USD/IDR revisits one-week-old range support as it trades near 14,055 during the early Asian session on Monday. 50-bar moving average on the four-hour chart (4H 50MA) and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of August-September declines has
Here is what you need to know on Monday, September 23rd: Risk aversion took over the market Friday on escalating trade tensions, and would likely persist Monday, following news indicating that the Pentagon will deploy US forces to the Middle East, which will be “defensive in nature,” a result of the Iranian attack on Saudi Arabian
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Monetary policy was the key theme of the past week with the Fed following in the ECB’s footsteps with a rate cut and other extraordinarily dovish authorities held steady in QE and negative rates. There is a run of high level central banker speeches in the week ahead, but wavers in US-China trade relations and
Dow Jones, DAX 30, FTSE 100 Forecasts: Dow Jones,DAX 30, FTSE 100 Fundamental Forecasts The major stock indices saw modest losses last week as a pivotal FOMC meeting came and went alongside subtle shifts in the US-China trade landscape. Left to sift through the transcripts, the Dow Jones was able to stem initial losses post-FOMC
In an interview with CNN late-Saturday, Saud Arabian Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Adel al-Jubeir, “We hold Iran responsible because the missiles and the drones that were fired at Saudi Arabia…were Iranian-built and Iranian-delivered.” Additional Quotes: “But to launch an attack from your territory, if that is the case, puts us in a different
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US DOLLAR FORECAST: BULLISH US Dollar may rise if US GDP data undermines Fed rate cut forecasts Deterioration in US-China trade war talks could amplify risk aversion Demand for liquidity helping buoy US Dollar as global growth slows Learn how to trade political volatility! The US Dollar may rise next week at the expense of
Risk management 101 This article is for you if you want a starter on risk management that is practical and simple to follow. I have written recently on the attitude required to manage money. See this article here on talking about the M-word. I have also written previously on the use of leverage and how
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