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Australian Retail Sales data due today – more preview

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Australian Retail
Sales data is due today, Friday 5 October 2018 at 0130GMT

I posted a preview (two in one) here earlier:

What to watch for: 

  • expected +0.2% m/m
  • prior 0.0%

Preview via ANZ:

Another soft retail sales report is likely given the sharp rise in petrol prices and ongoing decline in house prices. Our forecast is for a 0.1% m/m rise, which would still see sales in annual terms will jump to 3.6% y/y, the strongest result since June 2017. Our Random Forest model also predicts a 0.1% m/m. Interestingly, ANZ Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence rose in August despite the headwinds suggesting that households, at least for the moment, are absorbing some of these.

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