Less dovish RBNZ statement, upbeat market sentiment pleases NZD/USD buyers. Details from G20, New Zealand ANZ survey data awaited for fresh clues. With the RBNZ statement differing from its global central bank peers and market optimism surrounding G20 pleasing commodity-linked currencies, the NZD/USD stays modestly flat near 10-week high while taking the rounds to 0.6680
Month: June 2019
All major indices well off the highs The US major indices are ending the day with mixed results. The NASDAQ index ended higher while the S&P and down ended with modest declines. However, all three indices closed well off session highs and in fact, are clsoing just off the session lows Below are the high,
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US Dollar Price Action Talking Points: The US Dollar has posed a mild bounce thus far after a bearish theme that’s developed in June. A set of comments yesterday from Jerome Powell and James Bullard sounded not-as-dovish as last week’s FOMC outlay, helping to continue that theme of a USD-pullback. Given the backdrop behind a
Renewed trade optimism helps the greenback recover its losses. US Pres. Trump calls Fed policy ‘insane’ during an interview. WTI climbs to fresh June highs above $59. The USD/CAD pair dropped to 1.3140 area earlier in the day but staged a modest rebound in the last hour supported by a stronger greenback. As of writing,
A string of resistance targets ahead. The RBNZ kept rates unchanged (after a cut at the prior meeting) but did signal further cuts are likely. The NZDUSD moved lower but quickly reversed, squeezing the shorts. The fall on the headlines took the price below a lower trend line on the hourly and the 100 hour
Highs of the day for oil WTI crude has stretched gains to $1.46 today, hitting $59.30 per barrel. That’s the highest since May 30. The focus today is on weekly US oil inventories. A series of huge builds in supplies has flummoxed the market and confused analysts who say it doesn’t match up with refinery
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Slightly softer tones observed in early trades German DAX futures -0.3% French CAC 40 futures -0.2% UK FTSE futures -0.2% ForexLive The slight weakness to start the session is largely ascribed to a late fall in US equities overnight, after Fed dove James Bullard came up with some not-so-dovish remarks by ruling out a 50
DXY adds to Tuesday’s gains beyond 96.00 the figure. Yields of the US 10-year note rebound from 1.99%. US Durable Goods Orders, Trade Balance figures next on tap. The greenback, in terms of the US Dollar Index (DXY), is extending the rebound from recent lows further north of the key barrier at 96.00. US Dollar
Gold is down by 1% on the day and is testing key near-term levels ForexLive Remarks overnight from the most dovish Fed member, James Bullard, helped to give the dollar a lift and in turn has cast some doubts surrounding gold’s meteoric rise in the past month. With Bullard having ruled out a 50 bps
Trading the News: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Interest Rate Decision The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) interest rate decision may fuel a larger rebound in NZDUSD as the central bank is expected to keep the official cash rate (OCR) at the record-low of 1.50%. In fact, the record of the May meeting
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The Dow industrials ended nearly 180 points lower, down 0.7%. The S&P 500 finished 0.9% lower. the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.5%. U.S. stocks ended lower after remarks by Federal Reserve officials that dampen the rate-cut enthusiasm spurred up at the last meeting, leaving expectations on the tale of a 50 basis point rate cut for
100 hour MA at 7864.39 (and rising) The 50 hour MA did indeed transition the level support to resistance, and the price has now moved toward the 100 hour MA. That MA currently comes in at 7864.38. The low reached 7880.15 so far. It is not quite to the 100 hour MA, and with the
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Top FX News Talking Points: – The US Dollar has been dragged lower by skyrocketing Fed rate cut odds: markets are now pricing in a 97% chance of two 25-bps rate cut in 2019 and a 75% chance of three rate cuts this year. – US-China trade war will be in focus all week in
Consumer confidence data from The Conference Board Prior was 134.1 (revised to 131.3) Present situation 162.6 vs 175.2 prior (revised to 107..7) Expectations 94.1 vs 106.6 prior (revised to 105.0) 1-year inflation expectations 5.1% vs 4.6% prior Jobs hard-to-get 16.4 vs 11.8 prior This is a big miss on consumer confidence and will keep the
Small gains/losses in the early trading The US stocks are open and the changes are modest at the start. The snapshot is showing: S&P index, 0.65 points or 0.2% at 2944.70 NASDAQ index, -6.243 points or -0.8% at 7999.45 Dow industrial average +17.57 points or 0.07% at 26745.13 Iin other markets, US yields ond down
Analysts at TD Securities are expecting little dovish bias from Banxico due to developments in the core inflation and inflation expectations complex. Key Quotes “Any dovish messaging will come via the growth outlook, however these concerns will not dominate inflation expectations and core price dynamics, which currently do not imply rates cuts at this point
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Via Bloomberg. Yesterday was the last post on our trading mistake series while I was away in Dubai. Here is a link to all of the five lessons: Fed’s July price cut and US manufacturing data (via Bloomberg) The Federal Reserve’s rate cut for July are now nearly priced in at 100%. Part of that
Iran closes the door for talks with the US. Doubts over Iranian oil exports due to geopolitical tension and uncertainty concerning the US-China trade deal seems to have activated the profit-booking wave. API crude inventory data on the radar for fresh impulse. With not so clear details on how the US-Iran tensions have affected the
US-Iran headlines are contributing to the softer risk mood The earlier headline here has helped to push Treasury yields down to session lows, with 10-year yields slipping under 2.00% now falling by 1.5 bps on the day. And that has given USD/JPY a bit more of a nudge lower as the pair falls below the
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